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Technology Retreat Report #3
By
Todd Mitchell

THIS IS THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF REPORTS WHICH WE ARE PROUD TO BRING TO YOU  FROM DR. TODD MITCHELL


LA QUINTA, FEBRUARY 7, 2004 - Today was the final day of the fabulous HPA Tech Retreat hosted by that digital Gandolf, Mark Schubin. The morning began with the annual whirlwind Washington Update from technology attorney extraordinaire Jim Burger who recapped Cable Plug and Play, the Broadcast Flag, the Powell Transition plan for digital television, and the ATSC Tuner Mandate (all familiar territory to regular readers of HDTV Magazine). One interesting tidbit disclosed was the PBS plan to set a unilateral "hard date" for their own shut down of analog transmission and return of valuable analog spectrum allocation at some point before the end of 2006.

Next up was the kinder and gentler face of the MPAA, VP of Technology Brad Hunt. Brad is a true gearhead who remains remarkably current with really cool consumer electronic equipment, several pieces of which he displayed from photos he himself shot at CES. These included several new firewire products like the DISH PVR-921, the Pioneer DV-59Ai DVD-A and SACD decoding receiver, and the Mitsubishi 82 inch Alpha LCOS HDTV.

Later in the day HDTV Magazine contributor Pete Putman reviewed the latest developments in Flat Panel Displays. Pete's slides illuminated the many improvements being made to both LCD and plasma, highlighting several new full 1920x1080 panels displayed at the recent CES. Samsung and LG in particular have become major players in both markets and each appears to be trying to outdo the other in the bake off for world's largest HD flat panel display. One other panel that may be worth a second look is the new 55 inch enhanced Alis 1366x768 plasma display from Fujitsu and Hitachi.

One of the most anticipated presentations at this years Tech Retreat was today's High Definition Optical Disc Panel moderated by Mike Tsinberg of Key Digital.

Michael Fiedler of Sony and Don Eklund of Columbia Tri-Star Films extolled the virtues of Blu-Ray. All of
you high resolution audio fans will be glad to hear as was I that Blu-Ray will incorporate an optional multi-channel high resolution audio program that should prove especially useful for concert material. Recent founding group signees include Dell Computer and Hewlett Packard.

Howard Osa made a rather subdued pitch for the recent DVD Forum endorsed HD-DVD camp, previously known as AOD (Advanced Optical Disc), also a blue laser technology, but using an advanced codec. Since Disney, Sanyo, and most importantly
Microsoft appear to be poised to sign on it is a pretty good bet that Windows Media 9 will be their compression scheme of choice.
 


Wendy Aylsworth of Warner Bros. made a pitch for the red laser based HD/DVD9 format rejected last year by the DVD Forum which would be relatively inexpensive to implement. Pixsonics is promoting a similar system utilizing an additional layer of information on regular DVDs, thus eliminating the need for dual inventory.

Pankaj Topiwala of FastVDO made the case for AVC/H.264 which is an MPEG 4 variant compression scheme competing with Microsoft Windows Media 9 for designation as the standard on the DVD Forum's HD-DVD. Good luck Mr Topiwala.

The most audacious presentation of them all was by the relatively unknown On2 Technologies and its Engineering VP Eric Ameres. VP6 is a proprietary but freely distributed codec developed with the financial support of China, as in The Peoples Republic of. That's Red China for all of you cold warriors. First they take over the Moon and now high definition video discs? VP6 has already been approved by the SAC (the Standards Administration of China-and I'll bet you didn't even know that the SAC even exists), and is now "the approved format of the Chinese Central Government" aka the PRC. The On2 website claims VP6 to be the clearly superior HD format in side by side comparisons with Windows Media 9, H.264, and MPEG2.

All indications are that each of these camps are well entrenched and the likelihood of a single unified standard emerging anytime soon is increasingly remote. The stakes are very high, and this saga may dwarf that of Beta vs VHS many times over. Certainly the dream of recovering margins on DVD hardware by changing the rules of the game could be a fleeting one for the CEA. Does anyone know the Chinese word for "chutzpah"?


 THANK YOU TODD FOR AN OUTSTANDING JOB OF REPORTING BACK TO US FROM THE TECHNOLOGY RETREAT.


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