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Yup, sales of 3DTVs have been lower than what some people have predicted, or that what manufacturers had hoped for. The reason is not the goofy glasses or the high prices. You now pay little more to get 3D support in a television, and people are just fine with wearing the glasses in the local cinemas. The problem is simple; there’s not a compelling library of 3D content available. But that’s changing rapidly. Consider “Smart TVs” for a moment. For the most part, that means that your HDTV can connect to the Internet without using a separate computer or other black box, so that you can stream movies and past episodes of TV shows on Netflix. Yes, these televisions can also get sports scores and stock prices and weather forecasts, but the compelling application is the entertainment content from Netflix (and perhaps a few other sources such as YouTube, Hulu Plus, and Amazon on Demand). Once the content became available at a reasonable cost (all you can eat for less than $10 a month), the demand for the feature took off. The 20 or 30 movies that Hollywood releases in 3D just isn’t enough to sustain consumer interest. Even if you wanted to watch everyone of these movies, you’d run out of content even if you rationed yourself to one a week. Clearly not enough content. But here comes some compelling content, at least for some viewers. Panasonic has announced that it will be partnering with NBC to bring 3D coverage of the London 2012 Summer Olympics to U.S. television audiences. The 3D broadcasts will be shown on a next-day delay, including both the opening and closing ceremonies. The Olympic Broadcasting Services is planning to produce more than 200 hours of 3D programming, covering a wide range of sports including swimming, diving, and gymnastics. The content will be made available to cable, satellite, and telco subscription TV services across the country. I’ll freely admit that 200 hours of programming is not much in a market where the average viewer watches more than 150 hours a month, but it’s a good start. And when the content being shown is programming that is in high demand by a large number of consumers — such as the Olympics — I expect that we’ll find more people expressing interest in getting a 3DTV. Sports have always been a driving force for adopting new television technology, and when the SuperBowl is finally broadcast live in 3D, I expect that we’ll stop hearing stories about what a flop 3DTV has been. Posted by Alfred Poor, January 12, 2012 5:00 AM Reader CommentaryRoger Halstead • Jan 12, 4:51pm I have to admit I agree with you in that lack of compelling content does noting for compelling me to purchase a 3D TV. My 40" Samsung HDTV was one of the first with wide angle viewing and can be viewed from any where in the living room with curtains open of closed, day or night. BTW we didn't go larger simply because a larger set would not have fit anywhere except in front of the fireplace. I could now purchase a state of the art 50" for about a $1000 less than that 40" cost back then. course if I figure the $4000 our first color set cost way back when, it'd be over $30,000 in today's dollars and it had a huge 21" CRT! Typically those old tube sets only need a tube or two replace once every year of two. But out of compelling content, it not only would have to be good 3D it's have to be something that interests either me, my wife, or both. Even with all the hours of Olympic broadcasts there *might* be 10 or 15 hours we'd find interesting. Not enough to replac... alfredpoor • Jan 13, 12:06pm
Thanks for the comments, Roger. We're not far apart on how we see things. I do believe that we'll move into a metered delivery of bandwidth eventually, but I still expect to see content production and distribution subsidized heavily by commercial interests. Keep in mind that what you pay for the average magazine subscription couldn't cover the cost of mailing you just the cover; there are lots of businesses out there that are happy to pay for our information and entertainment. And I still believe that the Internet is going to make personalized content more granular, which is going to mean more cost effective marketing to smaller and smaller market segments. We won't have to rely just on beer and luxury cars to pay the freight in the future. Alfred... More from Alfred Poor
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About Alfred PoorAlfred Poor is a well-known display industry expert, who writes the daily HDTV Almanac. He wrote for PC Magazine for more than 20 years, and now is focusing on the home entertainment and home networking markets. |
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